Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.245957 0.283750 0.325193 0.373982 0.429822 0.491708 0.565476
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.188881 0.238609 0.297999 0.374041 0.468710 0.582584 0.729870
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.147577 0.202669 0.273821 0.372177 0.504342 0.675508 0.913750
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.117789 0.174853 0.254107 0.371710 0.541237 0.776154 1.125750
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.096249 0.153636 0.238912 0.374037 0.581853 0.888263 1.373009
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.081357 0.138948 0.230064 0.383484 0.633934 1.024822 1.678759
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.067527 0.122941 0.215956 0.381770 0.667986 1.139026 1.969066
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.058419 0.112889 0.209486 0.391036 0.720983 1.291131 2.344829
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.049025 0.100311 0.196174 0.385670 0.747341 1.401863 2.667193
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.042884 0.092574 0.190135 0.392272 0.796024 1.558635 3.095506
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.036049 0.081992 0.176615 0.381818 0.810124 1.653174 3.421468
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.032552 0.077704 0.174891 0.394694 0.872368 1.848747 3.972850
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.029551 0.073995 0.173914 0.409430 0.941935 2.071347 4.617583
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.025859 0.067900 0.166589 0.408920 0.978676 2.231833 5.157778
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022607 0.062173 0.159034 0.406500 1.010749 2.387201 5.711261
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019931 0.057326 0.152662 0.405728 1.046529 2.556169 6.321504
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.017788 0.053426 0.147903 0.408082 1.090262 2.749932 7.019087
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.016268 0.050924 0.146282 0.418235 1.155262 3.003813 7.899400
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014451 0.047149 0.140527 0.416286 1.188623 3.185185 8.627644
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013294 0.045103 0.139188 0.426304 1.255678 3.461284 9.638182
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011757 0.041511 0.132708 0.420430 1.277936 3.624499 10.377522
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010791 0.039559 0.130746 0.427580 1.338570 3.899139 11.458029
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009449 0.036012 0.123174 0.416199 1.342998 4.020507 12.133307